Layer
CRAM Q2 2026 — composite risk
Weighted compound-risk score across all seven CMC indicators
The flagship CMC Compound Risk Assessment Model score — a weighted average of food insecurity, displacement, conflict intensity, conflict proneness, drought, flood, and land productivity, rescaled to 1–5.
Methodology + interpretation
Methodology
Seven indicator weights (locked for the Q2 2026 cycle): food insecurity 0.35, displacement 0.16, conflict intensity 0.14, drought 0.14, conflict proneness 0.08, flood 0.08, land productivity 0.05. Each indicator is computed on a 5 km hex grid and aggregated to districts and regions by equal-area overlay.
Reading the scale
Higher = more districts compounding multiple risk factors. Very High (≥ 4.2) means four or more indicators are in severe territory simultaneously.
CMC Somalia CRAM, Q2 2026 cycle. © Conflict Management Consulting.
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