Layer
CRAM Aug–Oct 2026 — composite risk
Weighted compound-risk score across all seven CRAM indicators
The CRAM score: a weighted average of food insecurity, displacement, conflict intensity, conflict proneness, drought, flood and land productivity, on a scale of 1 to 5.
CRAM Aug–Oct 2026
Very Low< 2.44
Low2.44 – 2.85
Moderate2.85 – 3.2
High3.2 – 3.37
Very High≥ 3.37
Data coverage1 Aug – 31 Oct 2026
Methodology + interpretation
Methodology
Seven indicator weights (operational vector, unchanged since the Feb–Apr 2026 cycle): food insecurity 0.20, conflict intensity 0.20, drought 0.20, flood 0.20, land productivity 0.10, conflict proneness 0.05, displacement 0.05. Each indicator is computed on a 5 km hex grid and aggregated to districts and regions by equal-area overlay.
Reading the scale
Higher = more districts compounding multiple risk factors. Very High (≥ 3.37 on the composite cuts) means several indicators are in severe territory simultaneously.
CMC Somali CRAM, Aug–Oct 2026 cycle. © Conflict Management Consulting. Conflict data: ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data), accessed on 6 August and 4 November 2026. www.acleddata.com.
Somali CRAM